09 November 2015
An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.
Download ICU 182 (PDF 1.4 MB)
Download ICU Water Watch (PDF 345 KB)
In this issue
El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
Strong El Niño conditions continued in October 2015. Sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the central and eastern Pacific have increased since September and are close to or exceed +2.5°C in places.-
South Pacific Convergence Zone forecast November 2015 to January 2016
The ensemble of global climate models for rainfall that are used in METPI show an area of higher than normal rainfall associated with the SPCZ position. -
Tropical rainfall and SST outlook: November 2015 to January 2016
The dynamical models are all in agreement to forecast continuing strong El Niño conditions for the November 2015 – January 2016 period. -
ICU Water Watch
Based on rainfall anomaly classification over the past six months and forecast rainfall anomaly classification over the next 3 months.