Island Climate Update 161 - February 2014

An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.

14 February 2014

An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.

Download ICU 161 (PDF 702 KB)

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Island Climate Update

In this issue

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    Introduction

    The equatorial Pacific remains in a neutral ENSO state.

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    El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)

    The tropical Pacific ocean remained in a neutral state (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in January 2014.

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    South Pacific Convergence Zone forecast February to April 2014

    The ensemble of global climate models for rainfall that are used in METPI show an area of higher than normal rainfall associated with the SPCZ position.

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    Tropical rainfall and SST outlook: February to April 2014

    The dynamical models indicate drier conditions than normal for the February to April 2014 period in the eastern equatorial and south Pacific.

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    Data sources

    Sources of South Pacific rainfall data.