07 May 2015
An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.
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In this issue
Introduction
Warming of the sea surface across the equatorial Pacific Ocean continued in April 2015 and sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies currently reflect weak El Niño conditions.-
El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
Sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the tropical Pacific continued to increase and expand eastward along the Equator during May 2015 and are currently showing a pattern consistent with weak El Niño conditions. -
South Pacific Convergence Zone forecast May to July 2015
The ensemble of global climate models for rainfall that are used in METPI show an area of higher than normal rainfall associated with the SPCZ position. -
Tropical rainfall and SST outlook: May to July 2015
The dynamical model forecasts indicate that the central equatorial Pacific is likely to experience above normal rainfall in May – July 2015. -
ICU Water Watch
Based on rainfall anomaly classification over the past six months and forecast rainfall anomaly classification over the next 3 months.