18 March 2015
An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.
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In this issue
Introduction
Sea surface temperatures in the Equatorial Pacific reflect weak El Niño conditions in February 2015.-
El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) across the Equatorial Pacific Ocean continued to reflect conditions between weak and neutral El Niño states in February 2015. Equatorial SSTs are warmer than normal in the central and western Pacific, and the anomalies in the eastern Pacific remain weak. -
South Pacific Convergence Zone forecast March to May 2015
During the March to May 2015 period, the South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) is forecast to be positioned close to normal in the western Pacific and south of normal in the eastern Pacific. -
Tropical rainfall and SST outlook: March to May 2015
The dynamical model forecasts indicate that the central equatorial Pacific is likely to experience above normal rainfall in March – May 2015. In contrast, regions in the eastern Pacific are expected to experience reduced rainfall. -
ICU Water Watch
Based on rainfall anomaly classification over the past six months and forecast rainfall anomaly classification over the next 3 months.