Island Climate Update 160 - January 2014

An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.

14 January 2014

An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.

Download ICU 160 (PDF 721 KB)

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Island Climate Update

In this issue

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    Introduction

    The equatorial Pacific remains in a neutral ENSO state.

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    El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)

    The tropical Pacific ocean remained in a neutral state (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in December 2013.

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    South Pacific Convergence Zone forecast January to March 2014

    The ensemble of global climate models for rainfall that are used in METPI show an area of higher than normal rainfall associated with the SPCZ position.

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    Tropical rainfall and SST outlook: January to March 2014

    The dynamical models are in relative agreement to indicate drier conditions than normal for the January to March 2014 period in the far eastern Pacific, including parts of French Polynesia.

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    Data sources