Island Climate Update 173 - February 2015

An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.

09 February 2015

An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.

Download ICU 173 (PDF 313 KB)

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Island Climate Update

In this issue

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    Introduction

    Sea surface temperatures in the Equatorial Pacific were close to El Niño thresholds in January 2015.

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    El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)

    The tropical Pacific Ocean continued to hover between neutral and weak El Niño conditions in January 2015.

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    Tropical rainfall and SST outlook: February to April 2015

    The dynamical model forecasts indicate that the central equatorial as well as some parts of the southeast Pacific are likely to experience normal or above normal rainfall in February – April 2015.

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    ICU Water Watch

    Tonga: Below to well below normal rainfall experienced over the past 7 months. The forecast for February to April is for near normal rainfall.

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    Data sources