Regional drought potential advisory
Based on rainfall anomaly classification over the past six months and forecast rainfall anomaly classification over the next 3 months.
Fiji: Well below normal rainfall in June to September and below normal rainfall during November. Normal or below normal rainfall is predicted once again for the coming 3 months.
Tonga: Below to well below normal rainfall over the past 6 months. Normal conditions forecast over the coming 3 months might not be enough to replenish the reserves.
Marquesas: Well below or below normal rainfall experienced from June to October with continuing drier than normal conditions predicted for the next 3 months.
Northern Cook Islands: 4 out of the last 6 months below or well-below normal. No clear guidance for the next 3 months.
IMPORTANT NOTE
This advisory is prepared from the Island Climate Update bulletin produced by NIWA in association with the Pacific Island Meteorological Services and other supporting meteorological organisations. It is made possible with financial support from the New Zealand Ministry for Foreign Affairs and Trade Aid Programme, with additional support from the Secretariat for the Pacific Regional Environmental Programme (SPREP).
