27 March 2007
An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.
Number 78 – March 2007
February’s climate
- South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) further south than normal, with enhanced convection from the region northeast of Vanuatu, southeast to southern French Polynesia
- Suppressed convection and very low rainfall over the Northern Cook Islands, Tokelau, and northern French Polynesia; Wet in parts of Western Kiribati and much of Fiji
- Warmer than normal throughout New Caledonia and French Polynesia
- No tropical cyclones in February; four so far this season
El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and seasonal rainfall forecasts
- ENSO conditions are expected to remain neutral in the tropical Pacific for the March – May season
- Near or below average rainfall likely over Tuvalu and the Marquesas Islands
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