Regional drought potential advisory
Based on rainfall anomaly classification over the past three months and forecast rainfall anomaly classification over the next 3 months.
Fiji: Well below normal rainfall in June to September. Although normal rainfall was experienced in October the forecast for November to January (the start of the wet season) is for normal or below normal rainfall.
Tonga, Marquesas, Northern Cook Islands: Well below or below normal rainfall experienced over the last 5 months during the dry season with continuing drier than normal conditions predicted for the next 3 months.
New Caledonia, Vanuatu: Higher than normal rainfall experienced in September and October but normal to below normal rainfall forecast for November 2014 to January 2015.
IMPORTANT NOTE
This advisory is prepared from the Island Climate Update bulletin produced by NIWA in association with the Pacific Island Meteorological Services and other supporting meteorological organisations. It is made possible with financial support from the New Zealand Ministry for Foreign Affairs and Trade Aid Programme, with additional support from the Secretariat for the Pacific Regional Environmental Programme (SPREP).
