05 June 2013
The ensemble of global climate models for rainfall that are used in METPI show an area of higher than normal rainfall associated with the SPCZ position. The green line indicates the average SPCZ position for the forecast period based on the average of 8 climate models. The white vertical bars and 'whiskers' indicate the one and two standard deviations between the model projections of the SPCZ position every 5 degrees of longitude.
For June – August 2013, the forecast indicates the SPCZ will be positioned near normal or just south of normal for this time of year. Uncertainty is greatest to the east of the Dateline.
